The rise in the price of stainless steel pipes drives up the prices of raw materials such as iron ore, which in turn has a certain supporting effect on the price of TP316L stainless steel seamless pipes.
Some analysts pointed out that the significant increase in the price of stainless steel pipes is still mainly due to the expected impact of relevant policies. Since the beginning of this year, relevant departments have repeatedly proposed to consolidate the effect of capacity reduction, resolutely remove "floor steel", and prevent the resurgence of dust. In addition, the "2+26" urban air pollution prevention and control task introduced in the first half of this year has made shopping malls have higher expectations for the market outlook, driving up the price of 304 stainless steel pipes.
Recently, the stock prices of black series futures markets and stainless steel pipe companies have undergone "changes", and the phenomenon of pushing up the price of stainless steel pipe spot markets is very intriguing. At that time, the sharp increase in futures prices was not caused by market demand or the reduction of market supply, but some organizations over-interpreted relevant policies, and even reached the extreme conclusion that the price of stainless steel pipes was going to "rising". This kind of market situation judgment magnifies the impact of environmental protection and other related policies on market supply, and is a shocking hype.
In fact, a similar situation has already appeared in early 2017. Because my country wants to completely ban “land strip steel”, there has been a wave of market speculation in the market to push up the spot and futures prices of TP316L stainless steel pipes and the prices of imported iron ore. Although the price of stainless steel pipes was once raised by speculation, the price of stainless steel pipes quickly fell from a high point due to the lack of support from market fundamentals. In a panic mood, speculators rushed to flee, and there were ups and downs in the shopping mall.
Looking ahead to the price trend of stainless steel pipes, the key is to see the relationship between supply and demand in shopping malls. Because the domestic demand for stainless steel pipes will remain stable and the release of stainless steel pipe production capacity will remain at a high level, it is estimated that the price of stainless steel pipes will not continue to rise sharply in the future.
From the perspective of demand, the steady trend will continue. Since the beginning of this year, structural reforms on the supply side have been deeply promoted, the domestic economy has continued to operate steadily and positively, and the relationship between supply and demand in shopping malls has been continuously improved. In the later stage, the occupation of stainless steel pipes is expected to continue to grow steadily, and the demand for stainless steel pipes will basically stabilize.
From the perspective of supply, the superior production capacity is indeed guaranteed. Since the beginning of this year, my country has achieved remarkable results in promoting capacity reduction and comprehensive removal of "floor steel". Advantageous production capacity has been released in compliance with regulations, and the supply and demand situation of stainless steel pipe markets has improved.
From the perspective of the supply and demand situation in the later period, the environmental protection and production restriction measures in the heating season will have a certain impact on the supply. However, with the faster release of advantageous production capacity, there will be no large gaps in the later market, and the price of stainless steel pipes should not be able to rise sharply. Fluctuation operation situation.
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